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Silver Surges Past $76 as Gold and Platinum Hit Record Highs

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Silver prices surpassed the $76 mark for the first time on December 1, 2023, while both gold and platinum reached all-time highs. This surge is attributed to expectations of rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical tensions that have increased demand for safe-haven assets. As of 12:03 p.m. ET (17:03 GMT), spot silver was up 6% at $76.24 per ounce after peaking at $76.46, marking a remarkable 164% increase year-to-date.

Spot gold also experienced a notable rise, climbing 1.2% to $4,533.43 per ounce after reaching a record $4,549.71 earlier in the day. February futures for U.S. gold gained 1.43%, settling at $4,566.50. Peter Grant, vice president and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals, commented on the market dynamics, stating, “Expectations for further Fed easing in 2026, a weak dollar, and heightened geopolitical tensions are driving volatility in thin markets.” Despite potential profit-taking risks before the end of the year, he remains optimistic about the overall trend.

Market Outlook and Geopolitical Factors

The markets are anticipating two rate cuts in 2026, with the first likely occurring around mid-year. Speculation surrounds U.S. President Donald Trump potentially appointing a dovish Fed chair, reinforcing expectations for a more accommodative monetary policy. Concurrently, the U.S. dollar index is projected to decline, which enhances the attractiveness of dollar-priced gold to overseas buyers.

Geopolitical tensions have also escalated, with the U.S. conducting airstrikes against Islamic State militants in northwest Nigeria, as announced by Trump on Thursday. Grant indicated that silver prices could reach $77 per ounce and potentially $80 by year-end, while gold’s next target is $4,686.81, with a possibility of hitting $5,000 in the first half of next year.

Gold is on track for its most significant annual gain since 1979, supported by Federal Reserve policy easing, central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and ongoing trends of de-dollarization. On the demand side, gold discounts in India widened to their highest levels in over six months due to the relentless price rally, which has curtailed retail buying. In contrast, discounts in China have narrowed significantly from five-year highs observed the previous week.

Platinum and Palladium Trends

In addition to silver and gold, platinum saw a substantial increase of 9.8%, reaching $2,438.92 per ounce, after hitting a record high of $2,454.12. Palladium also experienced a remarkable gain of over 13%, climbing to $1,910.13.

All precious metals are on track for weekly gains, with platinum recording its strongest weekly rise on record. This surge underscores the shifting landscape in precious metal markets, driven by a confluence of economic and geopolitical factors that continue to shape investor behavior and market dynamics.

In conclusion, the current trends in the precious metals market reflect a complex interplay of economic policies, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment, highlighting the ongoing volatility and opportunities within these assets.

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